Weekly Blog by Philip King, CEO of the ICM - 'A chorus of disapproval'

I was at the ICAEW Insolvency & Restructuring Group Annual Conference in London earlier this week and took part in a panel looking at 'Breaking down barriers between participants in the insolvency process'. It was a good debate, and the whole conference had some excellent speakers and content, not least a presentation by Justin Urquhart Stewart on the global economy that was both insightful and highly entertaining. The reason for writing about the conference here, though, is that I had an issue with three views expressed by different presenters, with which I personally disagreed.

The first view was that the low rate of corporate insolvencies is likely to continue and unlikely to rise even when the economy starts to recover. I've had a long-held belief that insolvencies will spike when things get better and that remains my view. The demand for cash in struggling businesses will inevitably put them under more pressure and a greater likelihood of failure, and it will be accompanied by an environment in which the banks and other creditors will take a less tolerant view of businesses in distress. We were told that this recession is likely to be different from previous ones and the cyclical rise is less likely to happen. I disagree.

The second, from a politician, was that one of the prime reasons for the zombie companies about which we read (and I've written) so much is the failure of the banks to lend. I questioned the linkage he'd suggested and he clarified his point which was that the original failure to lend had created the shortage of working capital that had created the 'zombie state'. I acknowledge there will be some cases where having more working capital would have made the business stronger and allowed it to perhaps expand and thrive but, more generally, the problem must be that the underlying business model is flawed such that either turnover or profitability is inadequate to sustain the operation. Yes, we want the banks to lend more (to businesses that will be able to repay) but not if it means they will become a bigger write-off in due course.

The third was from an eminent senior banker who said he had yet to see a 'zombie company'. Maybe his definition is different to mine but I see, and hear about, plenty of businesses that are living from day to day covering the interest element of their debt with difficulty and knowing they are in no position to reduce the capital borrowing. And that goes for individuals too who are borrowing from one source to cover the minimum repayment on another.

I guess the value of conferences like this is that we learn, we hear different views, and we get the chance to challenge - or reinforce - our own thinking. I'm often wrong, indeed it's one of my well-known strengths, but I'm not sure I am on these issues.
 

Weekly Blog by Philip King, CEO of the ICM - 'Falling on deaf ears'

I was interested to see the ICAEW (Institute of Chartered Accountants in England & Wales) quoted by James Hurley in the Telegraph last weekend making the same point the ICM had made in its submission to a government consultation in March this year. The consultation related to the implementation of 'Simpler Financial Reporting for Micro-Entities'. The Telegraph article is here and the changes include a reduction in the amount of information filed with Companies House and the opportunity to mix two different types of accounting – the traditional ‘accruals’ approach and so-called ‘cash accounting’.

 

The government claims that the measures will reduce red tape for small businesses making it easier for them to do business. We believe, however, that it will reduce the availability of credit and stifle the economy rather than the claimed positive alternative. Our argument focuses on four key issues. Firstly, to abridge or abbreviate accounts – or indeed any document – you first need to have the full version to work from. Filing less information does not, therefore, reduce the preparation time, indeed if anything it will increase it. Secondly, the presentation of prepayments and accrued income, and accruals and deferred income is vital to understanding the true financial position of a business and to being certain that it is solvent.

 

Thirdly, the absence of reported information will encourage suppliers to simply refuse requests for trade credit rather than go to the trouble of seeking more detailed information from the potential customer, particularly when the amounts involved are small. It is these modest transactions that accumulate into real economic activity and potential growth. Our final argument is that by categorising a business that turns over £440,000 and employs ten people in the same way as a genuine micro-business that might trade solely on a cash basis is ludicrous. What is worse is that the turnover and net assets limits have been substantially increased since the original discussion paper was published in August 2011.

 

Another example of unintended consequences resulting from a failure to listen adequately to the voices of those who live in the real world, I fear.

 

 

Weekly Blog by Philip King, CEO of the ICM - 'Supporting the Business in You'

A campaign was launched by David Cameron in Leeds on Monday. 'Business in You' is a partnership between private enterprise and Government to highlight support for start-ups and growing businesses and encourage entrepreneurial spirit in 2012. It will run throughout the year and I'm delighted to say the ICM is actively engaged as one of the initial supporting organisations.

The campaign aims to highlight the fact that many people are sitting on an idea that could become a business, and many businesses have the potential to grow whether that's by launching new products, entering new markets, exporting for the first time or more widely, or by accepting the challenge and going for growth despite the negative malaise that surrounds us. The campaign website can be viewed at: http://businessinyou.bis.gov.uk/

I was at a meeting at BIS with many other of the supporting organisations on Tuesday and there are some really inspiring case studies being shared, and some innovative support solutions being offered by organisations as diverse as the Forum of Private Business, CBI, Institute of Directors, British Bankers' Association, ACCA, ICAEW, Intuit, Microsoft, Paypal, and Mitie to name but a few. Interestingly this is less about a government campaign with private sector support, and more about a collaboration that brings together the best from both the public and private sectors. And encouragingly, this isn't a government short-term soundbite-style gimmick but a long-term activity lasting for the whole year with links into many events and propositions. So how does the Institute of Credit management fit into this?

One of the challenges for all businesses, and particularly for start-ups and growing organisations, is making sure they have enough cash to sustain the business and its requirements. Managing cash-flow is vital, and the over 275,000 downloads of the ICM's Managing Cashflow Guides are testament to how relevant the subject is, and what an appetite there is to gain the necessary skills to manage it better. I hope the 'Business in You' campaign succeeds in encouraging more entrepreneurs to create a start-up, and more businesses to successfully expand but if it also helps businesses to manage their finances better and therefore survive longer, then it will have delivered something really worthwhile. I am proud that the ICM is among its supporters.

Weekly Blog by Philip King, CEO of the ICM - 'One economist agrees with me!'

An SME 'Access to Finance Research Report' published recently by the Institute of Chartered Accountants in England & Wales (ICAEW) held little in the way of surprises either in its findings or its recommendations. But it was nonetheless interesting.

One of the recommendations that particularly struck a chord with me, for example, was that 'SMEs need to display good financial management'. This is especially pertinent given the work that the Institute of Credit Management has been doing as part of the Doing Business Together initiative http://www.doingbusinesstogether.org/ and the need for greater transparency and clarity from all sides.

Whilst the report suggested that banks needed to do more to improve their relationship with the SME sector, it also concluded: '...well-managed, viable businesses with good track records have been able to obtain the finance they require........'. Such a statement will come as no surprise to those banks supplying the finance or credit professionals providing the trade credit!

I spent one afternoon this week with Roger Martin-Fagg, an economist, listening to his outlook for 2011 and beyond. Roger talks a great deal of sense and can support his arguments well. I was particularly pleased to find an economist who agrees with me that we're going to see a real surge in corporate insolvencies in the months ahead. I've been starting to feel I'm in a minority of one recently but perhaps not, after all!

His views on the difference between 'demand-pull' and 'cost-push' inflation are interesting too; we've got the latter in the UK and - for that reason - raising interest rates alone will not solve the problem. We watch with interest to see what happens next.

Feedback, positive or negative always welcome - use the response form or e-mail me at ceo@icm.org.uk.