Vince Cable has apparently, and allegedly, admitted that Project Merlin has failed. The Merlin agreement with the major banks guaranteed that lending to small businesses would increase to £76bn in 2011 but his acknowledgement that 'new mechanisms' would have to be considered is a tacit recognition that Merlin hasn't worked. The Chancellor's announcement last week of his 'credit easing' plan of a new credit line for business is further evidence.
As I said at the time, the idea that commercial banks could be 'forced' (as some commentators described it) to lend seemed farfetched at best. Commercial banks have a responsibility to ensure that their lending risks are justified and their lending policies are sound. We've all seen spectator examples in the press of where they may have got it wrong but receiving much less publicity are the numerous cases where they've declined to lend and have been right to do so.
I won't pretend to fully understand the concept of 'credit easing', the detail of which has yet to be made clear, but Phil Orford, the Chief executive of the Forum of Private Business asked three very sensible questions in a recent blog about a scheme which it would appear would require Treasury officials, or officials of an agency specifically appointed for the task, to have a start making judgments on lending taxpayers' money to private sector firms:
- How will they decide which companies deserve a loan from the taxpayer?
- How will the money be channeled to the businesses that need it?
- If these businesses are safe bets, why aren't private lenders already lending to them?
All will become clear in due course and I'll be fascinated to see exactly how it will work.
The other issue that needs to be addressed is how to encourage those business with outstanding debtors to use best practice in credit management to release that money and therefore reduce their external cash requirements. It might even save them having to look for working capital funding at all, but more of that next week by which time I'll have met with two MPs - one Conservative and one Labour - and discussed such matters.
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